ltcinsuranceshopper

Looking for Sneaky Growth? These 2 Stocks Are Low-Key Buys for 2025.

March 6, 2025 | by ltcinsuranceshopper

ad5910e55ae7b8f5047348d2598eda53.jpeg


Sometimes, the headline numbers don’t tell the whole story. That’s definitely the case with industrial software company PTC (NASDAQ: PTC) and workflow technology company Trimble (NASDAQ: TRMB). Both companies have excellent underlying growth rates in their recurring revenue, resulting in excellent cash flow generation in the coming years. As such, they represent two hidden growth stocks that would make an excellent addition to a long-term investor’s portfolio.

The thesis behind buying both stocks is similar. Both companies have solutions with significant secular growth drivers behind them, and they are encouraging the increasing adoption of their respective technologies.

An investor relaxing.
Image source: Getty Images.

In both cases, the growth is demonstrated in their recurring contract and subscription revenue, which ultimately guides their free cash flow (FCF) rather than in their revenue lines. The reasoning is that both companies offer solutions that are integral parts of their customers’ long-term operations, rather than being a one-off sale of hardware or on-premises software.

As such, both companies are growing their recurring revenue at a double-digit rate (above their total revenue rate), and both trade on highly attractive FCF-based valuations based on their FCF growth rates.

In the case of PTC’s industrial software, the growing use of digital technology in manufacturing is used to continuously improve product design, production, servicing, and disposal. By creating a digital thread of a product — from initial design using computer-aided design (CAD) software through product lifecycle management (PLM) software to service lifecycle management (SLM) software — a customer can gather a wealth of digital data that is continuously analyzed to produce actionable insights.

Products can be redesigned to optimize production efficiency or improve service requirements, and manufacturing processes can be changed to enhance servicing, etc. This continuously improving process helps customers design and get products to market quicker.

Despite challenging markets, the benefit of PTC’s solutions continues to encourage double-digit growth in its annual run rate (ARR) of “active subscription software, cloud, SaaS, and support contracts”

As you can see, the trend of growing ARR leading to super growth in FCF is clear.

PTC Metrics.
Data source: PTC presentations, www.marketscreener.com, organic ARR (as defined by PTC) growth at constant currency, Chart by author.

Moreover, Wall Street analysts see that trend continuing, with mid-teens to high-teens annual growth in the FCF forecast for 2025-2027. In terms of valuation, that means $841 million in 2025, $979 million in 2026, and $1,162 million in 2027. On a price-to-FCF basis, that equates to 23 times FCF in 2025, 20 times FCF in 2026, and 17 times FCF in 2027.



Source link

RELATED POSTS

View all

view all